Gênus vs São Francisco PA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
35.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gênus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 2
GEN
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
GEN
0 - 1
VIL
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
ARI
1 - 1
GEN
28%
25%
47%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GEN
2 - 1
PAR
57%
22%
22%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
BRO
2 - 1
GEN
52%
21%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
São Francisco PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
REC
2 - 0
FRA
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 1
CAM
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 3
PAY
9%
16%
75%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
1 - 1
FRA
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
PIN
0 - 1
FRA
10%
15%
75%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |