Gênus vs Náutico RR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
28.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gênus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
GEN
4 - 2
NAC
17%
23%
61%
|
24 | 48 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 0
GEN
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 0
GEN
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 2
PLA
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 1
GEN
73%
16%
10%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
NAU
3 - 0
PAR
20%
24%
57%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 0
GEN
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
NAU
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
PLA
2 - 1
NAU
67%
18%
14%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 2
NAC
21%
24%
55%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -2 |