KRC Gent vs Sparta Petegem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
57.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
10º
5º
59
1º
16º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
3º
|
75% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
41% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
55.5% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 44 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 44 |
12º
|
31% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
14º
|
21.5% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
71.5% | |
|
16º
|
35 | 36 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
32 | 32 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
91% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
9% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KRC Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
WES
2 - 1
GEN
29%
24%
48%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MER
2 - 1
GEN
26%
24%
49%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GEN
0 - 7
ZUL
87%
10%
3%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
OOS
2 - 1
GEN
64%
19%
17%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
GEN
3 - 0
OLS
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +3 |
Matches
Sparta Petegem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 0
SPO
83%
12%
5%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SPA
4 - 3
WES
82%
12%
6%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
4 - 1
SPA
11%
17%
72%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SPA
1 - 1
KSC
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
STA
1 - 2
SPA
8%
16%
76%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | +1 |