Genoa vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 1
GEN
71%
18%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 1
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 2
NAP
16%
21%
62%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
INT
5 - 0
GEN
71%
19%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
ACM
2 - 1
GEN
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ACD
1 - 1
NOV
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SIE
1 - 0
ACD
14%
27%
59%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
ACD
3 - 2
OLB
80%
15%
5%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ACD
3 - 1
USA
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
PON
1 - 2
ACD
20%
28%
52%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |