Genoa vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
PRG
2 - 2
GEN
76%
16%
7%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
GEN
5 - 0
SAL
61%
21%
18%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 1
GEN
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 0
PES
70%
18%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2004 |
MOD
1 - 1
GEN
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2004 |
VIC
4 - 2
PIA
41%
27%
31%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
ABN
2 - 1
VIC
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
VIC
3 - 2
CRO
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
CAT
1 - 0
VIC
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
VIC
1 - 0
TER
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +2 |