Genoa vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 0
GEN
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
CES
1 - 1
GEN
44%
31%
25%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
GEN
1 - 0
ATL
52%
29%
19%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
ASS
0 - 1
GEN
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
GEN
0 - 0
BAR
65%
23%
12%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
COM
1 - 1
VIC
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
VIC
5 - 1
TER
72%
19%
9%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1979 |
PAL
0 - 0
VIC
39%
28%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1979 |
VIC
0 - 1
TAR
75%
18%
7%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1979 |
VER
0 - 0
VIC
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |