Genoa vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
REG
2 - 0
GEN
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
GEN
4 - 0
LAZ
51%
28%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1967 |
FCC
2 - 1
GEN
48%
28%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
GEN
1 - 1
LEC
57%
25%
17%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
MOD
2 - 1
GEN
49%
28%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1967 |
VNZ
2 - 1
REG
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
POT
0 - 0
VNZ
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1967 |
VNZ
0 - 1
PAL
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1967 |
VNZ
2 - 0
MES
63%
22%
16%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1967 |
VNZ
3 - 1
PAD
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |