Genoa vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2007 |
FRO
0 - 2
GEN
28%
27%
46%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
GEN
3 - 1
VER
68%
21%
12%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2007 |
GEN
2 - 1
TRE
64%
22%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
JUV
3 - 1
GEN
76%
17%
8%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
GEN
2 - 0
VIC
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 0
TRI
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2007 |
TRI
2 - 3
LEC
30%
27%
44%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
TRI
0 - 0
VIC
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
SPE
2 - 2
TRI
40%
28%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
FRO
2 - 0
TRI
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |