Genoa vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
GEN
1 - 0
TER
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
SIE
2 - 1
GEN
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
GEN
4 - 2
ANC
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
PAL
0 - 0
GEN
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
ASC
1 - 1
GEN
41%
28%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2003 |
TRI
2 - 1
SIE
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
TRI
2 - 1
MES
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2002 |
ROM
1 - 1
TRI
79%
16%
6%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
SAL
2 - 2
TRI
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2002 |
TRI
2 - 1
NAP
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |