Genoa vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
19%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
USC
1 - 1
GEN
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
GEN
4 - 2
CAM
58%
27%
15%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
VIC
1 - 1
GEN
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
GEN
0 - 0
ARZ
56%
27%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
BOL
0 - 0
GEN
53%
28%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
TRI
1 - 1
MOD
63%
25%
12%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
BAR
1 - 1
TRI
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
BOL
1 - 0
TRI
51%
29%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
TRI
1 - 0
VIC
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
LEC
1 - 1
TRI
50%
29%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |