Genoa vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
GEN
4 - 2
INT
45%
24%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
BOL
2 - 1
GEN
65%
19%
17%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
GEN
3 - 3
NAP
52%
22%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
PRO
1 - 3
GEN
39%
24%
37%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
SAM
0 - 2
GEN
67%
18%
16%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
ROM
1 - 0
TRI
67%
18%
15%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
TRI
0 - 1
SPA
53%
24%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
ACM
2 - 0
TRI
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
REG
0 - 2
TRI
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1958 |
UDI
0 - 1
TRI
70%
17%
14%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |