Genoa vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
14%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1938 |
JUV
1 - 1
GEN
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1938 |
GEN
0 - 1
ACL
63%
18%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
ACM
1 - 2
GEN
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
GEN
3 - 1
NOV
78%
13%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
LAZ
2 - 1
GEN
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1938 |
TRI
1 - 2
INT
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1938 |
NAP
2 - 0
TRI
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1938 |
TRI
0 - 1
ROM
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
MOD
1 - 0
TRI
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1938 |
TRI
2 - 1
ASL
64%
19%
17%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |