Genoa vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
16.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1937 |
GEN
1 - 2
INT
48%
23%
29%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
NOV
1 - 0
GEN
41%
23%
36%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
GEN
4 - 0
USA
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
ACM
2 - 2
GEN
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1937 |
GEN
3 - 1
ROM
45%
24%
30%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1937 |
TRI
1 - 0
JUV
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1937 |
BOL
2 - 0
TRI
73%
16%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1937 |
TRI
0 - 0
SAM
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1937 |
ASL
1 - 1
TRI
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1937 |
TRI
1 - 0
FIO
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |