Genoa vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2007 |
GEN
0 - 0
NAP
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 0
GEN
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
GEN
3 - 0
PES
79%
15%
6%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 2
GEN
29%
29%
42%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
GEN
3 - 2
TRI
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2007 |
GRO
1 - 0
RAV
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
RAV
1 - 1
GRO
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PAD
0 - 1
GRO
38%
28%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
GRO
3 - 0
USC
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
USI
1 - 1
GRO
20%
27%
53%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -1 |