Genoa vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
17.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
CAM
0 - 0
GEN
38%
33%
30%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
GEN
2 - 0
VIC
54%
26%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
ARZ
2 - 0
GEN
42%
32%
27%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
GEN
1 - 1
BOL
57%
27%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1987 |
PES
2 - 1
GEN
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
USC
2 - 0
CAG
54%
27%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1987 |
LAZ
2 - 0
USC
60%
25%
15%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
USC
0 - 0
CES
53%
28%
19%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1987 |
VER
0 - 0
USC
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
TAR
3 - 1
USC
33%
35%
32%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |