Genoa vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1996 |
BOL
2 - 1
GEN
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
GEN
1 - 0
SAL
60%
22%
17%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
PAL
4 - 0
GEN
34%
28%
38%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
GEN
2 - 2
BRE
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
PES
1 - 0
GEN
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1996 |
AVE
2 - 0
ASL
37%
29%
35%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
REG
1 - 1
AVE
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
AVE
2 - 1
CES
38%
29%
33%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
REG
1 - 0
AVE
60%
24%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
AVE
0 - 0
ANC
40%
28%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |