Genoa vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
BRE
1 - 0
GEN
56%
27%
17%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
GEN
0 - 1
FCC
62%
24%
14%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
REG
0 - 1
GEN
43%
31%
26%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
GEN
2 - 3
SSS
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
GEN
1 - 1
PRG
55%
27%
19%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1975 |
AVE
3 - 1
PAR
62%
22%
15%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
NOV
1 - 0
AVE
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
AVE
1 - 1
PES
48%
26%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
PAL
2 - 0
AVE
58%
24%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
AVE
2 - 0
USA
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |