Genoa vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
10%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
GEN
1 - 0
ATL
60%
25%
15%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
USF
1 - 0
GEN
59%
26%
15%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
NOV
2 - 1
GEN
56%
27%
18%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
GEN
1 - 0
COM
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
GEN
1 - 1
VER
40%
30%
30%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
USA
0 - 2
BRE
49%
29%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
TAR
1 - 2
USA
54%
29%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1974 |
USA
1 - 2
NOV
45%
29%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1974 |
SPA
0 - 1
USA
66%
22%
12%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
USA
0 - 0
PAR
50%
29%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |