Genoa vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
COM
1 - 0
GEN
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
GEN
3 - 0
PAR
69%
19%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
ASS
0 - 2
GEN
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
GEN
0 - 0
BAR
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
GEN
3 - 0
MES
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
MOD
0 - 0
USA
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1962 |
USA
1 - 1
ACP
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
BRE
0 - 3
USA
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
USA
2 - 0
NOV
56%
25%
20%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
COM
4 - 2
USA
44%
27%
28%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |