Genoa vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
VNZ
4 - 0
GEN
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
PAR
0 - 0
GEN
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
GEN
1 - 1
ACP
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
VER
0 - 0
GEN
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
GEN
0 - 0
COM
65%
21%
15%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1961 |
USA
1 - 0
ACP
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
VER
0 - 1
USA
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
USA
0 - 0
ACM
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
USF
1 - 0
USA
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
PRO
3 - 1
USA
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |