Genoa vs FC Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1959 |
BAR
1 - 2
GEN
37%
26%
38%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
GEN
0 - 1
VIC
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
INT
4 - 1
GEN
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
GEN
1 - 0
BOL
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
NAP
2 - 2
GEN
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1959 |
USA
1 - 2
ACM
21%
22%
57%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
PAD
0 - 0
USA
74%
16%
11%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
USA
2 - 0
SPA
48%
24%
27%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
FIO
7 - 1
USA
78%
13%
8%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
USA
0 - 0
TOR
51%
24%
26%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |