Genoa vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
GEN
1 - 3
SAM
53%
21%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
VIG
2 - 3
GEN
29%
22%
50%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
USA
1 - 1
GEN
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
ACM
1 - 5
GEN
79%
13%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
GEN
5 - 2
LAZ
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
USA
6 - 0
VIG
64%
17%
18%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1958 |
SAM
2 - 1
USA
73%
16%
12%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1958 |
USA
1 - 1
GEN
50%
23%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
USA
1 - 2
UDI
38%
25%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
JUV
2 - 1
USA
77%
14%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |