Genoa vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
TER
4 - 1
GEN
42%
32%
26%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
GEN
1 - 1
CAG
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
CES
0 - 0
GEN
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
GEN
0 - 1
NAP
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
RIM
2 - 2
GEN
39%
24%
37%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
UDI
2 - 0
USF
43%
30%
27%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
VAR
2 - 2
UDI
50%
29%
21%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
UDI
3 - 1
TAR
56%
28%
16%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
PES
0 - 0
UDI
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
UDI
1 - 1
PRG
32%
27%
42%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |