Genoa vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1998 |
REG
2 - 0
GEN
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
GEN
1 - 1
SAL
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
ASS
0 - 0
GEN
19%
27%
54%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1998 |
GEN
1 - 0
VER
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
FIA
2 - 0
GEN
27%
28%
46%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1998 |
TRE
1 - 1
FIA
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
VER
1 - 1
TRE
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
TRE
0 - 0
TOR
29%
26%
46%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
PES
1 - 0
TRE
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
TRE
3 - 3
USF
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |