Genoa vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 3
ACL
68%
19%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
EMP
0 - 2
GEN
65%
20%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
PIA
4 - 4
GEN
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
GEN
2 - 2
NAP
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
COM
1 - 3
GEN
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
TOR
5 - 3
EMP
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
ACL
1 - 5
TOR
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
TOR
1 - 3
MES
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
FIO
1 - 0
TOR
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 1
TRE
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |