Genoa vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
GEN
1 - 0
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
ATL
1 - 3
GEN
62%
22%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
GEN
0 - 1
SAM
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
FIO
2 - 0
GEN
71%
18%
12%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
GEN
0 - 0
TOR
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
SPA
0 - 1
TOR
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1964 |
TOR
2 - 2
ROM
41%
26%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
BAR
0 - 3
TOR
35%
29%
36%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
TOR
0 - 0
JUV
28%
25%
48%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
GEN
0 - 0
TOR
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |