Genoa vs Torino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
ASS
1 - 2
GEN
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1939 |
GEN
3 - 0
INT
54%
22%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
NAP
2 - 0
GEN
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
GEN
2 - 0
ROM
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1939 |
JUV
0 - 1
GEN
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Torino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1939 |
TOR
1 - 0
ACL
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
INT
1 - 1
TOR
73%
17%
11%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1939 |
TOR
3 - 2
ACM
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1939 |
VNZ
3 - 2
TOR
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
NAP
0 - 0
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |