Genoa vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
BAR
0 - 0
GEN
50%
29%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
GEN
1 - 1
CES
57%
26%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
LAZ
3 - 0
GEN
57%
26%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
PAR
1 - 1
GEN
41%
33%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
GEN
2 - 0
CAG
58%
26%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
TAR
0 - 0
SSS
39%
35%
26%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
ARZ
3 - 1
TAR
56%
28%
16%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1987 |
TAR
1 - 1
BOL
35%
35%
31%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1986 |
TAR
1 - 1
BAR
34%
36%
30%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
CAM
1 - 1
TAR
58%
28%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |