Genoa vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
12%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
PAL
0 - 0
GEN
61%
26%
14%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
GEN
2 - 0
BRI
69%
21%
10%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
GEN
1 - 0
SPA
64%
23%
13%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
ARZ
1 - 0
GEN
49%
29%
22%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
GEN
1 - 1
AVE
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
TAR
2 - 0
PES
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
BRE
0 - 1
TAR
61%
25%
13%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
TAR
0 - 0
ARZ
49%
29%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1975 |
TAR
0 - 0
AVE
43%
28%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1975 |
SPA
2 - 0
TAR
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |