Genoa vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 0
GEN
44%
31%
26%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
BRE
1 - 0
GEN
40%
31%
29%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
GEN
2 - 3
PAL
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
TAR
1 - 1
GEN
35%
33%
32%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
GEN
0 - 0
NOC
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
SSS
1 - 1
USF
33%
33%
34%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
BAR
2 - 0
SSS
54%
28%
18%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
SSS
3 - 2
BRE
45%
32%
23%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
SPA
4 - 0
SSS
61%
25%
14%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
SSS
0 - 0
ASS
38%
34%
28%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |