Genoa vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
GEN
3 - 3
ACD
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TOR
2 - 1
GEN
71%
18%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 1
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GEN
1 - 2
NAP
16%
21%
62%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
INT
5 - 0
GEN
71%
19%
11%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
SAM
2 - 1
SPA
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 2
EMP
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
2 - 0
SPA
86%
11%
3%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 2
CAG
39%
28%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LAZ
4 - 1
SPA
79%
15%
7%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |