Genoa vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
19.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
SAM
0 - 0
GEN
60%
21%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
FIO
2 - 0
GEN
62%
20%
17%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
GEN
4 - 2
ROM
49%
25%
27%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
BOL
3 - 3
GEN
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
GEN
1 - 3
JUV
34%
25%
42%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1958 |
USA
0 - 0
SPA
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
SPA
1 - 3
VIC
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1958 |
SPA
1 - 0
SAM
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1958 |
JUV
3 - 1
SPA
75%
15%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 1958 |
SPA
2 - 0
UDI
40%
24%
35%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |