Genoa vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
FAN
1 - 1
GEN
59%
22%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
GEN
2 - 1
ASS
70%
18%
13%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
TRE
2 - 1
GEN
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
GEN
0 - 0
BRE
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
UNI
4 - 0
GEN
66%
19%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
UNI
1 - 1
SIR
72%
16%
12%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
SIR
2 - 0
VIC
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
CAT
1 - 0
SIR
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
SAL
1 - 1
SIR
58%
22%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
SIR
2 - 1
VER
57%
22%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |