Genoa vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
13%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
PAV
0 - 0
GEN
27%
27%
46%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
GIU
0 - 0
GEN
16%
24%
59%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
GEN
2 - 0
PRO
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
PRO
4 - 3
GEN
20%
27%
53%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
GEN
2 - 2
SAL
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
PRO
1 - 0
SAN
57%
25%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
GIU
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
PIZ
0 - 0
SAN
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
SAN
3 - 0
PRO
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
SPE
1 - 0
SAN
61%
24%
15%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |