Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 4-2
Genoa vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
46.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
USC
2 - 1
GEN
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
GEN
1 - 1
ASL
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
LEC
0 - 2
GEN
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
GEN
2 - 0
FIA
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
VNZ
2 - 2
GEN
33%
28%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
SAM
2 - 1
ACM
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
PRG
1 - 0
SAM
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
VIC
2 - 2
SAM
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
SAM
3 - 0
ACM
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
NAP
1 - 0
SAM
32%
27%
41%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |