Genoa vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
ATL
1 - 3
GEN
53%
24%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
FIO
0 - 0
GEN
71%
19%
10%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1978 |
GEN
1 - 1
INT
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
GEN
0 - 0
BOL
57%
25%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
VIC
1 - 0
GEN
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
NAP
1 - 1
SAM
80%
13%
6%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
SAM
0 - 1
AVE
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1978 |
ASC
3 - 2
SAM
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1978 |
TAR
1 - 1
SAM
46%
30%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1978 |
SAM
2 - 2
CES
58%
25%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |