Genoa vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
GEN
1 - 1
NOV
78%
15%
7%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAD
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
FER
0 - 1
GEN
14%
24%
63%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
GEN
3 - 0
RAV
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
PIZ
3 - 3
GEN
21%
26%
53%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2006 |
SAL
3 - 2
ACL
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
ASS
2 - 1
SAL
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
SAL
1 - 0
PAV
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
NOV
1 - 1
SAL
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
SAL
0 - 0
SPE
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |