Genoa vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 0
GEN
38%
29%
34%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
GEN
1 - 0
ARZ
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
SAM
1 - 0
GEN
55%
23%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1966 |
GEN
3 - 1
MES
58%
25%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1966 |
FOR
1 - 2
GEN
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 0
SAL
63%
23%
15%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
SAL
0 - 2
MES
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1966 |
SAL
1 - 0
RPO
72%
17%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1958 |
ACP
2 - 1
SAL
62%
18%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1958 |
SAL
3 - 2
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |