Genoa vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1948 |
GEN
2 - 2
BAR
69%
17%
15%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1948 |
LIV
1 - 1
GEN
46%
23%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
VIC
0 - 3
GEN
43%
23%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1948 |
ROM
3 - 0
GEN
49%
23%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
GEN
4 - 1
PRO
69%
16%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1948 |
SAL
1 - 0
USA
46%
22%
32%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1948 |
SAM
6 - 3
SAL
76%
14%
10%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1948 |
SAL
5 - 0
PRO
47%
22%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1948 |
LIV
3 - 0
SAL
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
MOD
1 - 0
SAL
69%
17%
14%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |