Genoa vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
46.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
20º
12º
34
9º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
51 | 86 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
1º
|
54 | 84 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 80 |
3º
|
54% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 70 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 69 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 68 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 68 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 59 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 58 |
9º
|
47% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 47 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 46 |
11º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 38 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
17º
|
21 | 36 |
15º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 35 |
16º
|
11.5% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 34 |
17º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
20 | 32 |
18º
|
20% | |
|
20º
|
13 | 28 |
19º
|
25.5% | |
|
19º
|
16 | 28 |
20º
|
36.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GEN
0 - 2
VER
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ASS
0 - 1
GEN
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GEN
2 - 2
INT
12%
20%
69%
|
87 | 99 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 0
REG
72%
18%
11%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
GEN
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
JUV
0 - 0
ROM
56%
24%
20%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ROM
1 - 2
EMP
74%
18%
8%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CAG
0 - 0
ROM
24%
24%
52%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
EVE
1 - 1
ROM
29%
27%
44%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 4
ROM
18%
23%
59%
|
93 | 71 | 22 | 0 |