Genoa vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
LIV
1 - 0
GEN
39%
26%
35%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
GEN
2 - 2
ACM
70%
17%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
JUS
0 - 2
GEN
38%
25%
38%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1952 |
GEN
0 - 1
SAL
71%
18%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
VER
0 - 0
GEN
51%
23%
27%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1952 |
ROM
3 - 1
ACM
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
VNZ
2 - 2
ROM
43%
26%
32%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
ROM
0 - 0
MOD
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1952 |
TRE
2 - 0
ROM
38%
25%
37%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
ROM
1 - 0
MES
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |