Genoa vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
TRI
0 - 1
GEN
31%
25%
44%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1942 |
JUV
3 - 2
GEN
61%
20%
19%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
GEN
5 - 2
LIV
72%
15%
13%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
INT
3 - 0
GEN
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
GEN
3 - 2
BAR
81%
11%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
ROM
1 - 2
JUV
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1942 |
LIV
2 - 0
ROM
48%
25%
28%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
ROM
1 - 3
INT
59%
21%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
BAR
2 - 2
ROM
29%
25%
47%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
ROM
1 - 1
BOL
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |