Genoa vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
FIO
2 - 0
GEN
50%
22%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
JUV
1 - 1
GEN
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
GEN
3 - 2
BOL
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1941 |
JUV
2 - 1
GEN
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
PES
1 - 2
GEN
33%
23%
44%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1941 |
ROM
2 - 0
JUV
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1941 |
BOL
1 - 2
ROM
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1941 |
ROM
5 - 1
NAP
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1941 |
NOV
1 - 0
ROM
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1941 |
VNZ
1 - 0
ROM
59%
21%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |