Genoa vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1939 |
JUV
0 - 1
GEN
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
MOD
0 - 0
GEN
35%
24%
41%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
GEN
4 - 1
ASL
81%
11%
8%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
TRI
1 - 1
GEN
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
GEN
3 - 2
JUV
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1939 |
ROM
2 - 1
TRI
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1939 |
ROM
2 - 3
INT
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1939 |
NAP
1 - 0
ROM
43%
25%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
ROM
2 - 0
TOR
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
ROM
0 - 1
MOD
68%
18%
15%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |