Genoa vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
GEN
3 - 1
USF
54%
27%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
REG
1 - 1
GEN
53%
28%
19%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
GEN
2 - 1
CES
52%
29%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
PRG
0 - 0
GEN
45%
32%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
LEC
0 - 0
GEN
37%
33%
30%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
REG
0 - 0
MAN
44%
33%
24%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1973 |
BRI
2 - 1
REG
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
REG
1 - 2
USF
38%
33%
29%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
CAT
0 - 0
REG
56%
28%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
FCC
1 - 1
REG
64%
24%
12%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |