Genoa vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
SAM
0 - 0
GEN
50%
27%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
GEN
2 - 2
MES
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
MOD
1 - 0
GEN
36%
30%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
GEN
2 - 0
SAL
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 0
GEN
38%
29%
34%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
REG
1 - 0
LIV
60%
24%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
REG
1 - 0
REG
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
SAV
0 - 0
REG
25%
24%
51%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
MES
2 - 0
REG
37%
28%
36%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
REG
1 - 0
NOV
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |