Genoa vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
USF
0 - 1
GEN
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
ASS
1 - 1
GEN
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
GEN
1 - 1
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
GEN
1 - 1
FCC
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
REG
5 - 0
GEN
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
PRO
0 - 1
ASS
59%
22%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
MES
1 - 1
PRO
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
PAL
3 - 1
PRO
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
PRO
2 - 1
USF
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
ACM
1 - 1
PRO
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |