Genoa vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
NAP
2 - 1
GEN
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
GEN
1 - 1
REG
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
CAG
2 - 1
GEN
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
GEN
1 - 1
CTT
78%
14%
7%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
GEN
3 - 3
EMP
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
PIS
1 - 1
VIC
24%
26%
51%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
PIS
1 - 0
CTT
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
CRO
1 - 2
PIS
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
PIS
1 - 2
REG
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2001 |
PIS
1 - 1
NAP
26%
26%
49%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |