Genoa vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
FCC
1 - 1
GEN
23%
27%
50%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
GEN
3 - 2
EMP
48%
25%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2004 |
CES
1 - 1
GEN
40%
26%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
GEN
1 - 0
CRO
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
TER
0 - 1
GEN
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
PIA
3 - 0
CRO
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
ABN
3 - 0
PIA
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
PIA
1 - 1
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2004 |
TRI
0 - 2
PIA
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PIA
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |