Genoa vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
17.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1989 |
SSS
1 - 0
GEN
36%
35%
29%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
GEN
0 - 0
BAR
47%
30%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1989 |
LIC
0 - 0
GEN
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
GEN
0 - 0
FCC
60%
25%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
BRE
0 - 0
GEN
40%
32%
29%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1989 |
PIA
1 - 0
USC
39%
30%
31%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1989 |
ANC
1 - 0
PIA
56%
26%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1989 |
PIA
0 - 1
COS
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
TAR
1 - 0
PIA
44%
29%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
PIA
1 - 1
SSB
49%
28%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |